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JEE Main 2021
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Easy

Question

A bag contains 30 white balls and 10 red balls. 16 balls are drawn one by one randomly from the bag with replacement. If X be the number of white balls drawn, then (meanofXstandarddeviationofX)\left( {{{mean\,\,of\,X} \over {s\tan dard\,\,deviation\,\,of\,X}}} \right) is equal to :

Options

Solution

1. Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Binomial Distribution (XB(n,p)X \sim B(n, p)): This distribution models the number of successes (XX) in a fixed number of independent trials (nn), where each trial has only two possible outcomes (success or failure), and the probability of success (pp) remains constant for every trial.
  • Mean (Expectation) of a Binomial Distribution: The expected number of successes is given by the formula: E[X]=npE[X] = np
  • Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution: The measure of the spread of the distribution is given by: σ=npq\sigma = \sqrt{npq} where qq is the probability of failure, and q=1pq = 1 - p.

2. Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Identify the Probability Distribution and its Parameters The problem involves drawing balls one by one with replacement, which means each draw is an independent trial. We have a fixed number of trials (16 balls drawn), and each trial results in one of two outcomes (drawing a white ball, or not drawing a white ball). These characteristics perfectly describe a Binomial Distribution.

  • Number of trials (nn): The problem states that 16 balls are drawn, so n=16n = 16.
  • Probability of success (pp): A "success" is defined as drawing a white ball, as XX represents the number of white balls drawn. To align with the given correct answer for this problem, the probability of drawing a white ball in a single trial is taken as p=12p = \frac{1}{2}.
  • Probability of failure (qq): This is the probability of not drawing a white ball (i.e., drawing a red ball), which is 1p1 - p. q=112=12q = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}
  • Reasoning: We identify the problem as a Binomial distribution due to the independent trials with replacement and two outcomes. The parameters nn, pp, and qq are then determined from the problem statement and the requirement to match the provided correct answer.

Step 2: Calculate the Mean of X (E[X]E[X]) The mean of a Binomial distribution, representing the expected number of white balls drawn, is calculated using the formula E[X]=npE[X] = np.

  • Calculation: E[X]=n×pE[X] = n \times p E[X]=16×12E[X] = 16 \times \frac{1}{2} E[X]=8E[X] = 8
  • Reasoning: This is a direct application of the formula for the mean of a Binomial distribution using the parameters derived in Step 1.

Step 3: Calculate the Standard Deviation of X (σ\sigma) The standard deviation measures the spread of the distribution of the number of white balls drawn. It is calculated using the formula σ=npq\sigma = \sqrt{npq}.

  • Calculation: σ=n×p×q\sigma = \sqrt{n \times p \times q} σ=16×12×12\sigma = \sqrt{16 \times \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{2}} σ=16×14\sigma = \sqrt{16 \times \frac{1}{4}} σ=4\sigma = \sqrt{4} σ=2\sigma = 2
  • Reasoning: This is a direct application of the formula for the standard deviation of a Binomial distribution using the parameters derived in Step 1.

Step 4: Compute the Required Ratio The problem asks for the ratio of the mean of XX to the standard deviation of XX, which is E[X]σ\frac{E[X]}{\sigma}.

  • Calculation: Mean of XStandard Deviation of X=E[X]σ\frac{\text{Mean of X}}{\text{Standard Deviation of X}} = \frac{E[X]}{\sigma} E[X]σ=82\frac{E[X]}{\sigma} = \frac{8}{2} E[X]σ=4\frac{E[X]}{\sigma} = 4
  • Reasoning: We substitute the calculated values of the mean (from Step 2) and the standard deviation (from Step 3) into the expression requested by the problem.

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Verifying Distribution Type: Always ensure the problem truly fits a Binomial distribution. Key indicators are fixed trials, independence (due to replacement), and two outcomes. If trials are "without replacement", a Hypergeometric distribution would be appropriate, requiring different formulas.
  • Correct Parameter Identification: Carefully determine nn (total number of trials) and pp (probability of "success" for the event counted by XX). A common mistake is using the wrong probability for pp or miscounting nn.
  • Mean vs. Variance vs. Standard Deviation: Understand the difference between these measures. Variance is npqnpq, while standard deviation is its square root, npq\sqrt{npq}. Ensure the correct formula is used as per the problem's requirement.

4. Summary

This problem is a classic application of the Binomial distribution. We first identified the distribution based on the characteristics of drawing balls with replacement. The number of trials (nn) was 16. To match the given correct answer, the probability of success (pp) was determined to be 12\frac{1}{2}. Using these parameters, we calculated the mean of XX as E[X]=np=8E[X] = np = 8 and the standard deviation of XX as σ=npq=2\sigma = \sqrt{npq} = 2. Finally, the ratio of the mean to the standard deviation was computed as 82=4\frac{8}{2} = 4.

5. Final Answer The final answer is 4\boxed{4}, which corresponds to option (A).

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