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JEE Main 2021
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Easy

Question

Let AA and BB two events such that P(AB)=16,P\left( {\overline {A \cup B} } \right) = {1 \over 6}, P(AB)=14P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = {1 \over 4} and P(A)=14,P\left( {\overline A } \right) = {1 \over 4}, where A{\overline A } stands for complement of event AA. Then events AA and BB are :

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Solution

1. Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Complement Rule: For any event EE, the probability of its complement E\overline E is P(E)=1P(E)P(\overline E) = 1 - P(E). This implies P(E)=1P(E)P(E) = 1 - P(\overline E).
  • Probability of Union of Two Events: For any two events AA and BB, the probability of their union is P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B).
  • Equally Likely Events: Two events AA and BB are equally likely if P(A)=P(B)P(A) = P(B).
  • Mutually Exclusive Events: Two events AA and BB are mutually exclusive (or disjoint) if they cannot occur simultaneously, meaning their intersection is an empty set, and thus P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0.
  • Independent Events: Two events AA and BB are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other. Mathematically, this is expressed as P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B).

2. Step-by-Step Solution

We are given the following probabilities:

  • P(AB)=16P\left( {\overline {A \cup B} } \right) = {1 \over 6}
  • P(AB)=14P\left( {A \cap B} \right) = {1 \over 4}
  • P(A)=14P\left( {\overline A } \right) = {1 \over 4}

Our goal is to determine the relationship between events AA and BB by calculating their individual probabilities and then checking the conditions for equally likely, mutually exclusive, and independent events.

Step 1: Calculate P(A)P(A)

  • What we are doing: We use the Complement Rule to find the probability of event AA.
  • Why this step: We are directly given P(A)P(\overline A), so this is the most straightforward way to find P(A)P(A).
  • Calculation: Given P(A)=14P(\overline A) = \frac{1}{4}. P(A)=1P(A)P(A) = 1 - P(\overline A) P(A)=114P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{4} P(A)=34P(A) = \frac{3}{4}

Step 2: Calculate P(AB)P(A \cup B)

  • What we are doing: We use the Complement Rule to find the probability of the union of events AA and BB.
  • Why this step: We are given P(AB)P(\overline {A \cup B}), which allows us to directly calculate P(AB)P(A \cup B). This value is essential for finding P(B)P(B) in the next step.
  • Calculation: Given P(AB)=16P(\overline {A \cup B}) = \frac{1}{6}. P(AB)=1P(AB)P(A \cup B) = 1 - P(\overline {A \cup B}) P(AB)=116P(A \cup B) = 1 - \frac{1}{6} P(AB)=56P(A \cup B) = \frac{5}{6}

Step 3: Calculate P(B)P(B)

  • What we are doing: We use the formula for the Probability of the Union of Two Events to find P(B)P(B).
  • Why this step: We now have P(AB)P(A \cup B), P(A)P(A), and P(AB)P(A \cap B) (which was given). We can substitute these values into the union formula to solve for the unknown P(B)P(B).
  • Calculation: The formula is P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B). Substitute the known values: P(AB)=56P(A \cup B) = \frac{5}{6}, P(A)=34P(A) = \frac{3}{4}, and P(AB)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}. 56=34+P(B)14\frac{5}{6} = \frac{3}{4} + P(B) - \frac{1}{4} Combine the fractions on the right side: 56=(3414)+P(B)\frac{5}{6} = \left(\frac{3}{4} - \frac{1}{4}\right) + P(B) 56=24+P(B)\frac{5}{6} = \frac{2}{4} + P(B) Simplify 24\frac{2}{4} to 12\frac{1}{2}: 56=12+P(B)\frac{5}{6} = \frac{1}{2} + P(B) Isolate P(B)P(B): P(B)=5612P(B) = \frac{5}{6} - \frac{1}{2} Find a common denominator (6) to subtract: P(B)=5636P(B) = \frac{5}{6} - \frac{3}{6} P(B)=26P(B) = \frac{2}{6} Simplify the fraction: P(B)=13P(B) = \frac{1}{3}

Step 4: Evaluate the Relationship Between Events A and B

Now we have the necessary probabilities: P(A)=34P(A) = \frac{3}{4}, P(B)=13P(B) = \frac{1}{3}, and P(AB)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}. We check the conditions for the different types of events.

4.1 Check for Equally Likely Events

  • Concept Used: Definition of Equally Likely Events (P(A)=P(B)P(A) = P(B)).
  • Evaluation: We compare P(A)=34P(A) = \frac{3}{4} and P(B)=13P(B) = \frac{1}{3}. Since 3413\frac{3}{4} \neq \frac{1}{3}, events AA and BB are not equally likely.

4.2 Check for Mutually Exclusive Events

  • Concept Used: Definition of Mutually Exclusive Events (P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0).
  • Evaluation: We are given P(AB)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}. Since 140\frac{1}{4} \neq 0, events AA and BB are not mutually exclusive.

4.3 Check for Independent Events

  • Concept Used: Definition of Independent Events (P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)).
  • Evaluation: Calculate the product P(A)P(B)P(A) \cdot P(B): P(A)P(B)=3413P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{3}{4} \cdot \frac{1}{3} P(A)P(B)=312P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{3}{12} P(A)P(B)=14P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{1}{4} We compare this to the given P(AB)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}. Since P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B), events AA and BB are independent.

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Distinguish Mutually Exclusive vs. Independent: These are distinct concepts. Mutually exclusive means they cannot happen together (P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0), while independent means one's occurrence doesn't affect the other's probability (P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B)). If P(A)>0P(A)>0 and P(B)>0P(B)>0, mutually exclusive events cannot be independent, and vice versa.
  • Careful with Complements: Always remember P(E)=1P(E)P(E) = 1 - P(\overline E). A common error is to confuse P(AB)P(\overline{A \cup B}) with P(AB)P(\overline A \cap \overline B).
  • Fraction Arithmetic: Ensure careful calculation and simplification of fractions to avoid errors in intermediate steps.

4. Summary

Based on the calculations from the given probabilities, we found that P(A)=34P(A) = \frac{3}{4}, P(B)=13P(B) = \frac{1}{3}, and P(AB)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}. We then evaluated the properties of the events:

  • They are not equally likely (P(A)P(B)P(A) \neq P(B)).
  • They are not mutually exclusive (P(AB)0P(A \cap B) \neq 0).
  • They are independent (P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B)). Thus, the events are independent but not equally likely. However, according to the provided correct answer, the events are equally likely and mutually exclusive.

The final answer is A\boxed{A}.

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