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JEE Main 2020
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Medium

Question

In a binomial distribution B(n,p)B(n,p), the sum and the product of the mean and the variance are 5 and 6 respectively, then 6(n+pq)6(n+p-q) is equal to :

Options

Solution

1. Key Concepts and Formulas

A binomial distribution, denoted as B(n,p)B(n,p), models the number of successes in nn independent Bernoulli trials, where each trial has a probability pp of success. The key parameters and their formulas are:

  • Number of Trials (nn): A positive integer representing the total number of independent trials (nZ+n \in \mathbb{Z}^+).
  • Probability of Success (pp): The probability of success in a single trial, where 0p10 \le p \le 1.
  • Probability of Failure (qq): The probability of failure in a single trial, related to pp by the equation q=1pq = 1-p. Consequently, 0q10 \le q \le 1.
  • Mean (μ\mu): The expected number of successes, given by the formula: μ=np\mu = np
  • Variance (σ2\sigma^2): A measure of the spread of the distribution, given by the formula: σ2=npq\sigma^2 = npq

2. Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Translate the given information into algebraic equations.

  • What we are doing: We are converting the problem's descriptive statements about the mean and variance into precise mathematical equations.
  • Why we are doing it: This is the foundational step to set up the system of equations that we will solve.

The problem states:

  1. The sum of the mean and the variance is 5. μ+σ2=5\mu + \sigma^2 = 5 Substituting the formulas for μ\mu and σ2\sigma^2: np+npq=5(Equation 1)np + npq = 5 \quad \text{(Equation 1)}
  2. The product of the mean and the variance is 6. μσ2=6\mu \cdot \sigma^2 = 6 Substituting the formulas for μ\mu and σ2\sigma^2: (np)(npq)=6(Equation 2)(np)(npq) = 6 \quad \text{(Equation 2)}

Step 2: Simplify the initial equations.

  • What we are doing: We are simplifying Equation 1 by factoring and Equation 2 by combining terms, to make them easier to work with.

  • Why we are doing it: Simplification often reveals relationships between variables and prepares the equations for strategic manipulation.

  • Simplifying Equation 1: Factor out the common term npnp: np(1+q)=5(Equation 1’)np(1+q) = 5 \quad \text{(Equation 1')}

  • Simplifying Equation 2: Multiply the terms: n2p2q=6(Equation 2’)n^2p^2q = 6 \quad \text{(Equation 2')}

Step 3: Strategically eliminate variables to solve for qq.

  • What we are doing: We have two equations (1' and 2') with three unknowns (n,p,qn, p, q). Our goal is to reduce the number of variables to solve for one. We will use division to eliminate nn and pp.
  • Why we are doing it: Notice that Equation 1' contains npnp and Equation 2' contains n2p2n^2p^2. If we square Equation 1', we will get an n2p2n^2p^2 term, allowing us to divide Equation 3 by Equation 2' to cancel out n2p2n^2p^2.
  1. Square Equation 1': (np(1+q))2=52(np(1+q))^2 = 5^2 n2p2(1+q)2=25(Equation 3)n^2p^2(1+q)^2 = 25 \quad \text{(Equation 3)}
  2. Divide Equation 3 by Equation 2': n2p2(1+q)2n2p2q=256\frac{n^2p^2(1+q)^2}{n^2p^2q} = \frac{25}{6} The n2p2n^2p^2 terms cancel out: (1+q)2q=256\frac{(1+q)^2}{q} = \frac{25}{6}
  3. Form a quadratic equation for qq: Cross-multiply: 6(1+q)2=25q6(1+q)^2 = 25q Expand (1+q)2(1+q)^2: 6(1+2q+q2)=25q6(1 + 2q + q^2) = 25q Distribute the 6: 6+12q+6q2=25q6 + 12q + 6q^2 = 25q Rearrange into standard quadratic form (aq2+bq+c=0aq^2+bq+c=0): 6q2+12q25q+6=06q^2 + 12q - 25q + 6 = 0 6q213q+6=06q^2 - 13q + 6 = 0

Step 4: Solve for qq and validate the solution.

  • What we are doing: We solve the quadratic equation obtained in Step 3 for qq.
  • Why we are doing it: This will give us the possible values for qq. It is crucial to validate these values against the definition of a probability.

We solve the quadratic equation 6q213q+6=06q^2 - 13q + 6 = 0 using factorization: We need two numbers that multiply to 6×6=366 \times 6 = 36 and add up to 13-13. These numbers are 9-9 and 4-4. 6q29q4q+6=06q^2 - 9q - 4q + 6 = 0 Factor by grouping: 3q(2q3)2(2q3)=03q(2q-3) - 2(2q-3) = 0 (3q2)(2q3)=0(3q-2)(2q-3) = 0 This yields two possible values for qq: 3q2=0    q=233q-2=0 \implies q = \frac{2}{3} 2q3=0    q=322q-3=0 \implies q = \frac{3}{2}

Validation: Since qq represents a probability, it must satisfy 0q10 \le q \le 1.

  • q=23q = \frac{2}{3} (approximately 0.667) is within the valid range.
  • q=32q = \frac{3}{2} (1.5) is greater than 1, so it is an invalid probability and must be rejected.

Therefore, the only valid value for qq is q=23q = \frac{2}{3}.

Step 5: Determine the remaining parameters pp and nn.

  • What we are doing: Using the valid value of qq, we find pp and then nn.
  • Why we are doing it: We need all parameters (n,p,qn, p, q) to evaluate the final expression.
  1. Find pp: Using the relationship p=1qp = 1-q: p=123p = 1 - \frac{2}{3} p=13p = \frac{1}{3}
  2. Find nn: Substitute the values of pp and qq into Equation 1': np(1+q)=5np(1+q) = 5. n(13)(1+23)=5n \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \left(1 + \frac{2}{3}\right) = 5 n(13)(53)=5n \left(\frac{1}{3}\right) \left(\frac{5}{3}\right) = 5 5n9=5\frac{5n}{9} = 5 Multiply both sides by 95\frac{9}{5}: n=5×95n = 5 \times \frac{9}{5} n=9n = 9

Validation: Since nn represents the number of trials, it must be a positive integer. n=9n=9 is a valid value.

Step 6: Calculate the final expression 6(n+pq)6(n+p-q).

  • What we are doing: We substitute the determined values of n,p,qn, p, q into the expression required by the question.
  • Why we are doing it: This is the final step to answer the problem.

We have n=9n=9, p=13p=\frac{1}{3}, and q=23q=\frac{2}{3}. Substitute these into 6(n+pq)6(n+p-q): 6(9+1323)6 \left(9 + \frac{1}{3} - \frac{2}{3}\right) Simplify the terms inside the parenthesis: 9+1323=9(2313)=9139 + \frac{1}{3} - \frac{2}{3} = 9 - \left(\frac{2}{3} - \frac{1}{3}\right) = 9 - \frac{1}{3} Convert to a common denominator: 913=27313=2639 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{27}{3} - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{26}{3} Now, multiply by 6: 6(263)=(6÷3)×26=2×26=526 \left(\frac{26}{3}\right) = (6 \div 3) \times 26 = 2 \times 26 = 52

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Parameter Validation: Always remember that pp and qq must be probabilities (0p,q10 \le p, q \le 1), and nn must be a positive integer. Reject any values that violate these conditions.
  • Algebraic Errors: Be careful with squaring equations and dividing them. Ensure all terms are handled correctly, especially when expanding binomials like (1+q)2(1+q)^2.
  • Factoring: Factoring npnp from the sum equation (np+npq=np(1+q)np+npq = np(1+q)) is a crucial step that simplifies subsequent calculations.

4. Summary

This problem required a thorough understanding of the binomial distribution's mean and variance formulas. We first translated the given sum and product information into two algebraic equations involving n,p,n, p, and qq. By strategically manipulating these equations, specifically by squaring one and dividing by the other, we formed a quadratic equation for qq. After solving for qq, we validated the solutions to ensure they represented a valid probability. With qq determined, we easily found pp and then nn. Finally, we substituted these derived parameter values into the required expression to arrive at the solution.

The final answer is 52\boxed{\text{52}}, which corresponds to option (A).

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