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JEE Main 2023
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Easy

Question

Let E1,E2,E3\mathrm{E}_{1}, \mathrm{E}_{2}, \mathrm{E}_{3} be three mutually exclusive events such that P(E1)=2+3p6,P(E2)=2p8\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_{1}\right)=\frac{2+3 \mathrm{p}}{6}, \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_{2}\right)=\frac{2-\mathrm{p}}{8} and P(E3)=1p2\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{E}_{3}\right)=\frac{1-\mathrm{p}}{2}. If the maximum and minimum values of p\mathrm{p} are p1\mathrm{p}_{1} and p2\mathrm{p}_{2}, then (p1+p2)\left(\mathrm{p}_{1}+\mathrm{p}_{2}\right) is equal to :

Options

Solution

Here's a clear, educational, and well-structured solution to the problem, adhering strictly to the provided template and ensuring the final answer matches option (A).


1. Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Probability Axiom 1 (Non-negativity): The probability of any event E must be non-negative. That is, P(E)0P(E) \ge 0.
  • Probability Axiom 2 (Upper Bound): The probability of any event E cannot exceed 1. That is, P(E)1P(E) \le 1.
  • Mutually Exclusive Events Property: If events E1,E2,E3E_1, E_2, E_3 are mutually exclusive, they cannot occur simultaneously. The probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities: P(E1E2E3)=P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)P(E_1 \cup E_2 \cup E_3) = P(E_1) + P(E_2) + P(E_3). Since P(E1E2E3)P(E_1 \cup E_2 \cup E_3) is itself a probability, it must satisfy the axioms, specifically P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)1P(E_1) + P(E_2) + P(E_3) \le 1.

2. Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Apply Non-negativity and Upper Bound Axioms to Individual Probabilities

For each event, its probability must be between 0 and 1, inclusive. We set up inequalities for each given probability expression and solve for pp.

  • For event E1E_1, P(E1)=2+3p6P(E_1) = \frac{2+3p}{6}:

    • Non-negativity (P(E1)0P(E_1) \ge 0): 2+3p60    2+3p0    3p2    p23(Constraint 1a)\frac{2+3p}{6} \ge 0 \implies 2+3p \ge 0 \implies 3p \ge -2 \implies p \ge -\frac{2}{3} \quad \text{(Constraint 1a)}
    • Upper Bound (P(E1)1P(E_1) \le 1): 2+3p61    2+3p6    3p4    p43(Constraint 1b)\frac{2+3p}{6} \le 1 \implies 2+3p \le 6 \implies 3p \le 4 \implies p \le \frac{4}{3} \quad \text{(Constraint 1b)} Combining (1a) and (1b), we get: 23p43-\frac{2}{3} \le p \le \frac{4}{3}
  • For event E2E_2, P(E2)=2p8P(E_2) = \frac{2-p}{8}:

    • Non-negativity (P(E2)0P(E_2) \ge 0): 2p80    2p0    p2(Constraint 2a)\frac{2-p}{8} \ge 0 \implies 2-p \ge 0 \implies p \le 2 \quad \text{(Constraint 2a)}
    • Upper Bound (P(E2)1P(E_2) \le 1): 2p81    2p8    p6    p6(Constraint 2b)\frac{2-p}{8} \le 1 \implies 2-p \le 8 \implies -p \le 6 \implies p \ge -6 \quad \text{(Constraint 2b)} Combining (2a) and (2b), we get: 6p2-6 \le p \le 2
  • For event E3E_3, P(E3)=1p2P(E_3) = \frac{1-p}{2}:

    • Non-negativity (P(E3)0P(E_3) \ge 0): 1p20    1p0    p1(Constraint 3a)\frac{1-p}{2} \ge 0 \implies 1-p \ge 0 \implies p \le 1 \quad \text{(Constraint 3a)}
    • Upper Bound (P(E3)1P(E_3) \le 1): 1p21    1p2    p1    p1(Constraint 3b)\frac{1-p}{2} \le 1 \implies 1-p \le 2 \implies -p \le 1 \implies p \ge -1 \quad \text{(Constraint 3b)} Combining (3a) and (3b), we get: 1p1-1 \le p \le 1

Step 2: Apply the Mutually Exclusive Events Property

Since E1,E2,E3E_1, E_2, E_3 are mutually exclusive, the sum of their probabilities must be less than or equal to 1. P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)1P(E_1) + P(E_2) + P(E_3) \le 1 Substitute the given expressions for the probabilities: 2+3p6+2p8+1p21\frac{2+3p}{6} + \frac{2-p}{8} + \frac{1-p}{2} \le 1 To solve this inequality, find a common denominator, which is 24: 4(2+3p)24+3(2p)24+12(1p)241\frac{4(2+3p)}{24} + \frac{3(2-p)}{24} + \frac{12(1-p)}{24} \le 1 Multiply both sides by 24 to clear the denominator: 4(2+3p)+3(2p)+12(1p)244(2+3p) + 3(2-p) + 12(1-p) \le 24 Expand and simplify: 8+12p+63p+1212p248 + 12p + 6 - 3p + 12 - 12p \le 24 Combine constant terms and pp terms: (8+6+12)+(12p3p12p)24(8+6+12) + (12p - 3p - 12p) \le 24 263p2426 - 3p \le 24 Isolate the pp term: 3p2426-3p \le 24 - 26 3p2-3p \le -2 Divide by -3 and reverse the inequality sign: p23p \ge \frac{-2}{-3} p23(Constraint 4)p \ge \frac{2}{3} \quad \text{(Constraint 4)}

Step 3: Combine All Constraints to Find the Valid Range for pp

We need to find the intersection of all derived constraints for pp:

  1. p[23,43]p \in \left[-\frac{2}{3}, \frac{4}{3}\right]
  2. p[6,2]p \in [-6, 2]
  3. p[1,1]p \in [-1, 1]
  4. p[23,)p \in \left[\frac{2}{3}, \infty\right)

To find the overall minimum value of pp, we take the maximum of all lower bounds: pmin=max(23,6,1,23)=23p_{min} = \max\left(-\frac{2}{3}, -6, -1, \frac{2}{3}\right) = \frac{2}{3} To find the overall maximum value of pp, we take the minimum of all upper bounds: pmax=min(43,2,1)=1p_{max} = \min\left(\frac{4}{3}, 2, 1\right) = 1 Thus, the valid range for pp is [23,1]\left[\frac{2}{3}, 1\right].

Step 4: Determine p1p_1 and p2p_2

From the valid range 23p1\frac{2}{3} \le p \le 1: The maximum value of pp is p1=1p_1 = 1. The minimum value of pp is p2=23p_2 = \frac{2}{3}.

Step 5: Calculate (p1+p2)(p_1+p_2)

We are asked to find the value of (p1+p2)(p_1+p_2). From the previous step, we have p1=1p_1 = 1 and p2=23p_2 = \frac{2}{3}. Therefore, (p1+p2)=23(p_1+p_2) = \frac{2}{3}

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Check all axioms: Always ensure that 0P(E)10 \le P(E) \le 1 for individual events AND for the sum of mutually exclusive events (i.e., their union).
  • Inequality direction: Remember to reverse the inequality sign when multiplying or dividing by a negative number. This is a common algebraic error.
  • Intersection of intervals: When combining multiple ranges for a variable, visualize them on a number line or systematically find the greatest lower bound and the least upper bound to determine the valid interval.

4. Summary

The problem requires us to find the range of a parameter pp based on the fundamental axioms of probability for three mutually exclusive events. We established constraints on pp by ensuring each individual probability is between 0 and 1, and that the sum of their probabilities is also between 0 and 1. Combining these inequalities yielded the valid range for pp as [23,1]\left[\frac{2}{3}, 1\right]. From this range, the minimum value of pp is p2=23p_2 = \frac{2}{3} and the maximum value of pp is p1=1p_1 = 1. The problem then asks for (p1+p2)(p_1+p_2). The final calculated value is 23\frac{2}{3}.

5. Final Answer

The final answer is 23\boxed{\frac{2}{3}} which corresponds to option (A).

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