Here's a clear, educational, and well-structured solution to the problem, adhering strictly to the provided template and ensuring the final answer matches option (A).
1. Key Concepts and Formulas
- Probability Axiom 1 (Non-negativity): The probability of any event E must be non-negative. That is, P(E)≥0.
- Probability Axiom 2 (Upper Bound): The probability of any event E cannot exceed 1. That is, P(E)≤1.
- Mutually Exclusive Events Property: If events E1,E2,E3 are mutually exclusive, they cannot occur simultaneously. The probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities: P(E1∪E2∪E3)=P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3). Since P(E1∪E2∪E3) is itself a probability, it must satisfy the axioms, specifically P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)≤1.
2. Step-by-Step Solution
Step 1: Apply Non-negativity and Upper Bound Axioms to Individual Probabilities
For each event, its probability must be between 0 and 1, inclusive. We set up inequalities for each given probability expression and solve for p.
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For event E1, P(E1)=62+3p:
- Non-negativity (P(E1)≥0):
62+3p≥0⟹2+3p≥0⟹3p≥−2⟹p≥−32(Constraint 1a)
- Upper Bound (P(E1)≤1):
62+3p≤1⟹2+3p≤6⟹3p≤4⟹p≤34(Constraint 1b)
Combining (1a) and (1b), we get: −32≤p≤34
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For event E2, P(E2)=82−p:
- Non-negativity (P(E2)≥0):
82−p≥0⟹2−p≥0⟹p≤2(Constraint 2a)
- Upper Bound (P(E2)≤1):
82−p≤1⟹2−p≤8⟹−p≤6⟹p≥−6(Constraint 2b)
Combining (2a) and (2b), we get: −6≤p≤2
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For event E3, P(E3)=21−p:
- Non-negativity (P(E3)≥0):
21−p≥0⟹1−p≥0⟹p≤1(Constraint 3a)
- Upper Bound (P(E3)≤1):
21−p≤1⟹1−p≤2⟹−p≤1⟹p≥−1(Constraint 3b)
Combining (3a) and (3b), we get: −1≤p≤1
Step 2: Apply the Mutually Exclusive Events Property
Since E1,E2,E3 are mutually exclusive, the sum of their probabilities must be less than or equal to 1.
P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)≤1
Substitute the given expressions for the probabilities:
62+3p+82−p+21−p≤1
To solve this inequality, find a common denominator, which is 24:
244(2+3p)+243(2−p)+2412(1−p)≤1
Multiply both sides by 24 to clear the denominator:
4(2+3p)+3(2−p)+12(1−p)≤24
Expand and simplify:
8+12p+6−3p+12−12p≤24
Combine constant terms and p terms:
(8+6+12)+(12p−3p−12p)≤24
26−3p≤24
Isolate the p term:
−3p≤24−26
−3p≤−2
Divide by -3 and reverse the inequality sign:
p≥−3−2
p≥32(Constraint 4)
Step 3: Combine All Constraints to Find the Valid Range for p
We need to find the intersection of all derived constraints for p:
- p∈[−32,34]
- p∈[−6,2]
- p∈[−1,1]
- p∈[32,∞)
To find the overall minimum value of p, we take the maximum of all lower bounds:
pmin=max(−32,−6,−1,32)=32
To find the overall maximum value of p, we take the minimum of all upper bounds:
pmax=min(34,2,1)=1
Thus, the valid range for p is [32,1].
Step 4: Determine p1 and p2
From the valid range 32≤p≤1:
The maximum value of p is p1=1.
The minimum value of p is p2=32.
Step 5: Calculate (p1+p2)
We are asked to find the value of (p1+p2).
From the previous step, we have p1=1 and p2=32.
Therefore, (p1+p2)=32
3. Common Mistakes & Tips
- Check all axioms: Always ensure that 0≤P(E)≤1 for individual events AND for the sum of mutually exclusive events (i.e., their union).
- Inequality direction: Remember to reverse the inequality sign when multiplying or dividing by a negative number. This is a common algebraic error.
- Intersection of intervals: When combining multiple ranges for a variable, visualize them on a number line or systematically find the greatest lower bound and the least upper bound to determine the valid interval.
4. Summary
The problem requires us to find the range of a parameter p based on the fundamental axioms of probability for three mutually exclusive events. We established constraints on p by ensuring each individual probability is between 0 and 1, and that the sum of their probabilities is also between 0 and 1. Combining these inequalities yielded the valid range for p as [32,1]. From this range, the minimum value of p is p2=32 and the maximum value of p is p1=1. The problem then asks for (p1+p2). The final calculated value is 32.
5. Final Answer
The final answer is 32 which corresponds to option (A).