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JEE Main 2020
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Medium

Question

The probability, that in a randomly selected 3-digit number at least two digits are odd, is :

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Solution

Key Concepts and Formulas

  1. Probability Definition: The probability of an event EE is the ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space. P(E)=Number of Favorable OutcomesTotal Number of Possible OutcomesP(E) = \frac{\text{Number of Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes}}
  2. Fundamental Principle of Counting (Multiplication Rule): If an event can occur in n1n_1 ways, and a subsequent event can occur in n2n_2 ways, and so on, then the total number of ways for all events to occur in sequence is n1×n2××nkn_1 \times n_2 \times \dots \times n_k. This principle is essential for calculating the size of our sample space and the number of favorable outcomes.
  3. "At Least" Concept: The phrase "at least two digits are odd" means we need to consider all scenarios where the number of odd digits is two or more. For a 3-digit number, this translates to two distinct, mutually exclusive cases:
    • Exactly two digits are odd.
    • Exactly three digits are odd. The total number of favorable outcomes will be the sum of the outcomes from these individual cases.

Step-by-Step Solution

We are tasked with finding the probability that a randomly selected 3-digit number has at least two odd digits. Let's define the characteristics of the digits first:

  • 3-digit number: A number ranging from 100 to 999. This implies the hundreds digit (first digit) cannot be 0.
  • Odd digits: {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}. There are 5 choices for an odd digit.
  • Even digits: {0, 2, 4, 6, 8}. There are 5 choices for an even digit.

Let the 3-digit number be represented as d1d2d3d_1 d_2 d_3, where d1d_1 is the hundreds digit, d2d_2 is the tens digit, and d3d_3 is the units digit.

Step 1: Determine the Total Number of Possible Outcomes (Sample Space)

We first need to count all possible 3-digit numbers.

  • For d1d_1 (hundreds digit): It cannot be 0. So, d1d_1 can be any digit from 1 to 9.
    • Number of choices for d1=9d_1 = 9 (i.e., {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}).
  • For d2d_2 (tens digit): It can be any digit from 0 to 9.
    • Number of choices for d2=10d_2 = 10 (i.e., {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}).
  • For d3d_3 (units digit): It can also be any digit from 0 to 9.
    • Number of choices for d3=10d_3 = 10 (i.e., {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}).

Using the Multiplication Rule, the total number of distinct 3-digit numbers is: Total Outcomes=(Choices for d1)×(Choices for d2)×(Choices for d3)\text{Total Outcomes} = (\text{Choices for } d_1) \times (\text{Choices for } d_2) \times (\text{Choices for } d_3) Total Outcomes=9×10×10=900\text{Total Outcomes} = 9 \times 10 \times 10 = 900

Step 2: Determine the Number of Favorable Outcomes

We need to count 3-digit numbers with "at least two odd digits." This breaks down into two mutually exclusive cases:

Case A: Exactly three digits are odd (Odd, Odd, Odd) In this case, all three digits (d1,d2,d3d_1, d_2, d_3) must be odd.

  • For d1d_1 (hundreds digit): Must be odd. Since d1d_1 cannot be 0, and all odd digits (1, 3, 5, 7, 9) are non-zero, all 5 odd choices are valid.
    • Number of choices for d1=5d_1 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
  • For d2d_2 (tens digit): Must be odd.
    • Number of choices for d2=5d_2 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
  • For d3d_3 (units digit): Must be odd.
    • Number of choices for d3=5d_3 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).

Number of outcomes for Case A = 5×5×5=1255 \times 5 \times 5 = 125.

Case B: Exactly two digits are odd (and one digit is even) This case involves one even digit and two odd digits. We must consider the position of the single even digit, keeping in mind the rule that d1d_1 cannot be 0. Let 'O' represent an odd digit and 'E' represent an even digit.

  • Subcase B1: The even digit is in the hundreds place (E O O)

    • For d1d_1 (hundreds digit): Must be even AND non-zero. The even digits are {0, 2, 4, 6, 8}. Excluding 0, we have 4 choices.
      • Number of choices for d1=4d_1 = 4 (i.e., {2, 4, 6, 8}).
    • For d2d_2 (tens digit): Must be odd.
      • Number of choices for d2=5d_2 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
    • For d3d_3 (units digit): Must be odd.
      • Number of choices for d3=5d_3 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}). Number of outcomes for Subcase B1 = 4×5×5=1004 \times 5 \times 5 = 100.
  • Subcase B2: The even digit is in the tens place (O E O)

    • For d1d_1 (hundreds digit): Must be odd. All odd digits are non-zero.
      • Number of choices for d1=5d_1 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
    • For d2d_2 (tens digit): Must be even. The digit 0 is allowed in the tens place.
      • Number of choices for d2=5d_2 = 5 (i.e., {0, 2, 4, 6, 8}).
    • For d3d_3 (units digit): Must be odd.
      • Number of choices for d3=5d_3 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}). Number of outcomes for Subcase B2 = 5×5×5=1255 \times 5 \times 5 = 125.
  • Subcase B3: The even digit is in the units place (O O E)

    • For d1d_1 (hundreds digit): Must be odd.
      • Number of choices for d1=5d_1 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
    • For d2d_2 (tens digit): Must be odd.
      • Number of choices for d2=5d_2 = 5 (i.e., {1, 3, 5, 7, 9}).
    • For d3d_3 (units digit): Must be even. The digit 0 is allowed in the units place.
      • Number of choices for d3=5d_3 = 5 (i.e., {0, 2, 4, 6, 8}). Number of outcomes for Subcase B3 = 5×5×5=1255 \times 5 \times 5 = 125.

Total number of outcomes for Case B (exactly two odd digits) is the sum of outcomes from Subcases B1, B2, and B3: Total for Case B=100+125+125=350\text{Total for Case B} = 100 + 125 + 125 = 350

Now, we sum the outcomes from Case A and Case B to get the total number of favorable outcomes: Total Favorable Outcomes=Outcomes (Case A)+Outcomes (Case B)\text{Total Favorable Outcomes} = \text{Outcomes (Case A)} + \text{Outcomes (Case B)} Total Favorable Outcomes=125+350=475\text{Total Favorable Outcomes} = 125 + 350 = 475

Step 3: Calculate the Probability

Using the probability definition from Key Concepts and Formulas: P(at least two odd digits)=Total Favorable OutcomesTotal Number of Possible OutcomesP(\text{at least two odd digits}) = \frac{\text{Total Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes}} P(at least two odd digits)=475900P(\text{at least two odd digits}) = \frac{475}{900}

To simplify the fraction, we divide both the numerator and the denominator by their greatest common divisor, which is 25: 475÷25=19475 \div 25 = 19 900÷25=36900 \div 25 = 36 So, the probability is: P(at least two odd digits)=1936P(\text{at least two odd digits}) = \frac{19}{36}


Common Mistakes & Tips

  1. First Digit Constraint: Always remember that the hundreds digit (d1d_1) of a 3-digit number cannot be 0. This is a common pitfall, especially when dealing with even digits in the first position.
  2. Zero as an Even Digit: The digit '0' is an even digit. It can be used in the tens (d2d_2) or units (d3d_3) place, but not in the hundreds (d1d_1) place. Failing to account for this correctly can lead to errors in counting.
  3. "At Least" Interpretation: Break down "at least N" problems into a sum of mutually exclusive "exactly N", "exactly N+1", etc., cases. This systematic approach helps avoid missing scenarios.

Summary

To determine the probability that a randomly selected 3-digit number has at least two odd digits, we first established the total number of possible 3-digit numbers as 900. Next, we identified the favorable outcomes by considering two distinct cases: numbers with exactly three odd digits (125 numbers) and numbers with exactly two odd digits (350 numbers). Summing these cases yielded 475 favorable outcomes. Finally, by dividing the total favorable outcomes by the total possible outcomes, we arrived at the probability of 475900\frac{475}{900}, which simplifies to 1936\frac{19}{36}.

The final answer is 1936\boxed{{{19} \over {36}}}, which corresponds to option (A).

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