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JEE Main 2023
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Hard

Question

The sum and product of the mean and variance of a binomial distribution are 82.5 and 1350 respectively. Then the number of trials in the binomial distribution is ____________.

Answer: 82

Solution

1. Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Binomial Distribution Parameters:
    • nn: Number of trials (a positive integer).
    • pp: Probability of success in a single trial (0<p<10 < p < 1).
    • qq: Probability of failure in a single trial (q=1pq = 1 - p, so 0<q<10 < q < 1).
  • Mean of Binomial Distribution (μ\mu): μ=np\mu = np
  • Variance of Binomial Distribution (σ2\sigma^2): σ2=npq\sigma^2 = npq
  • Relationship between Mean and Variance: For a binomial distribution, σ2=μq\sigma^2 = \mu q. Since 0<q<10 < q < 1, it implies σ2<μ\sigma^2 < \mu (unless q=0q=0, which means p=1p=1 and σ2=0\sigma^2=0).
  • Quadratic Equation Roots: If the sum of two quantities x1,x2x_1, x_2 is SS and their product is PP, then x1x_1 and x2x_2 are the roots of the quadratic equation x2Sx+P=0x^2 - Sx + P = 0.

2. Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Formulating Equations from Given Information

The problem states that the sum and product of the mean (μ\mu) and variance (σ2\sigma^2) of a binomial distribution are 82.5 and 1350, respectively.

  1. Sum of mean and variance: μ+σ2=82.5\mu + \sigma^2 = 82.5
  2. Product of mean and variance: μσ2=1350\mu \cdot \sigma^2 = 1350

Step 2: Solving for the Mean and Variance

We can treat μ\mu and σ2\sigma^2 as the roots of a quadratic equation x2Sx+P=0x^2 - Sx + P = 0, where S=82.5S = 82.5 and P=1350P = 1350. Substituting the given values: x282.5x+1350=0x^2 - 82.5x + 1350 = 0 To solve this quadratic equation, we can use the quadratic formula x=b±b24ac2ax = \frac{-b \pm \sqrt{b^2 - 4ac}}{2a} or factorization. For factorization, we look for two numbers that sum to 82.5 and multiply to 1350. By inspection, 60 and 22.5 satisfy these conditions (60+22.5=82.560 + 22.5 = 82.5 and 60×22.5=135060 \times 22.5 = 1350). So, the quadratic equation can be factored as: (x60)(x22.5)=0(x - 60)(x - 22.5) = 0 The roots are x=60x = 60 and x=22.5x = 22.5. These are the possible values for μ\mu and σ2\sigma^2.

Step 3: Assigning Values to Mean and Variance

For a binomial distribution, the mean is always greater than or equal to the variance (μσ2\mu \ge \sigma^2), because σ2=μq\sigma^2 = \mu q and 0<q10 < q \le 1. Therefore, we assign the larger value to the mean and the smaller value to the variance:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = np=60np = 60
  • Variance (σ2\sigma^2) = npq=22.5npq = 22.5

Step 4: Calculating the Probability of Failure (qq) and Success (pp)

We have a system of two equations:

  1. np=60np = 60
  2. npq=22.5npq = 22.5 To find qq, divide the second equation by the first equation: npqnp=22.560\frac{npq}{np} = \frac{22.5}{60} q=22.560q = \frac{22.5}{60} To simplify the fraction, multiply the numerator and denominator by 10 to remove the decimal: q=225600q = \frac{225}{600} Divide both by 75 (or successively by 25 then 3): q=225÷75600÷75=38q = \frac{225 \div 75}{600 \div 75} = \frac{3}{8} Now, we find the probability of success pp using the relation p+q=1p + q = 1: p=1q=138=8838=58p = 1 - q = 1 - \frac{3}{8} = \frac{8}{8} - \frac{3}{8} = \frac{5}{8} Both p=5/8p = 5/8 and q=3/8q = 3/8 are valid probabilities (between 0 and 1).

Step 5: Determining the Number of Trials (nn)

Using the formula for the mean, μ=np\mu = np, and the values we found for μ\mu and pp: np=60np = 60 Substitute p=58p = \frac{5}{8}: n(58)=60n \left(\frac{5}{8}\right) = 60 To solve for nn, multiply both sides by the reciprocal of 58\frac{5}{8}, which is 85\frac{8}{5}: n=60×85n = 60 \times \frac{8}{5} n=(60÷5)×8n = (60 \div 5) \times 8 n=12×8n = 12 \times 8 n=96n = 96 Therefore, the number of trials in the binomial distribution is 96.

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Order of Mean and Variance: Always remember that for a binomial distribution, μσ2\mu \ge \sigma^2. Incorrectly assigning the values from the quadratic equation (e.g., μ=22.5,σ2=60\mu = 22.5, \sigma^2 = 60) would lead to q>1q > 1, which is impossible for a probability.
  • Decimal to Fraction Conversion: Converting decimals to fractions early often simplifies calculations and reduces the chance of arithmetic errors, especially during division and simplification.
  • Probability Constraints: Always verify that your calculated pp and qq values are between 0 and 1 (exclusive for non-degenerate distributions). If not, recheck your calculations.
  • Integer nn: The number of trials nn must be a positive integer. If your final nn is a fraction or negative, there's an error in your steps.

4. Summary

We began by setting up two equations based on the given sum and product of the mean and variance. These equations led to a quadratic equation, whose roots represented the mean and variance. By applying the property that the mean is always greater than or equal to the variance for a binomial distribution, we correctly identified μ=60\mu = 60 and σ2=22.5\sigma^2 = 22.5. We then used these values to calculate the probability of failure (q=3/8q = 3/8) and success (p=5/8p = 5/8). Finally, substituting pp and μ\mu into the mean formula (μ=np\mu = np) allowed us to determine the number of trials, n=96n=96.

5. Final Answer

The final answer is 82\boxed{82}.

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