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JEE Main 2019
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Hard

Question

Two integers xx and yy are chosen with replacement from the set {0,1,2,3,,10}\{0,1,2,3, \ldots, 10\}. Then the probability that xy>5|x-y|>5, is :

Options

Solution

Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Classical Probability: The probability of an event EE is defined as the ratio of the number of outcomes favorable to the event to the total number of equally likely possible outcomes in the sample space SS. P(E)=Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))P(E) = \frac{\text{Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))}}
  • Fundamental Principle of Counting: If an event consists of a sequence of kk independent choices, where the first choice has n1n_1 options, the second has n2n_2 options, and so on, then the total number of possible outcomes for the event is n1×n2××nkn_1 \times n_2 \times \ldots \times n_k.
  • Absolute Value Inequality: The inequality A>k|A| > k (where k>0k > 0) is equivalent to the disjunction (A>kA > k or A<kA < -k). This property is essential for correctly interpreting the condition given in the problem.

Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Determine the Total Number of Possible Outcomes (Sample Space)

Our first step is to establish the complete set of all possible pairs (x,y)(x,y) that can be chosen. This forms our sample space, SS.

  1. Identify the Source Set: The integers xx and yy are chosen from the set Sbase={0,1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10}S_{base} = \{0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}.
  2. Count Elements in the Source Set: To find the number of distinct integers in SbaseS_{base}, we use the formula (last element - first element + 1). Number of elements in Sbase=100+1=11\text{Number of elements in } S_{base} = 10 - 0 + 1 = 11
  3. Account for "With Replacement": The problem states that xx and yy are chosen with replacement. This means that the choice of xx does not affect the possible choices for yy, and xx and yy can be the same value.
    • Since there are 11 choices for xx, xx can take any value from {0,1,,10}\{0, 1, \ldots, 10\}.
    • Similarly, there are 11 choices for yy, and yy can take any value from {0,1,,10}\{0, 1, \ldots, 10\}.
  4. Calculate Total Outcomes: Using the Fundamental Principle of Counting, the total number of distinct ordered pairs (x,y)(x,y) is the product of the number of choices for xx and yy. Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))=11×11=121\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))} = 11 \times 11 = 121

Step 2: Determine the Number of Favorable Outcomes

We are interested in the event EE where the absolute difference between xx and yy is greater than 5. This is expressed as xy>5|x-y| > 5.

Using the property of absolute value inequalities, xy>5|x-y| > 5 can be broken down into two distinct and mutually exclusive conditions:

  1. xy>5x-y > 5
  2. xy<5x-y < -5 (which is equivalent to yx>5y-x > 5)

We will count the number of pairs (x,y)(x,y) for each condition separately.

Sub-step 2.1: Count outcomes for the condition xy>5x-y > 5

This condition can be rewritten as xy+6x \ge y+6. We need to find all pairs (x,y)(x,y) from Sbase×SbaseS_{base} \times S_{base} that satisfy this. Let's systematically list the possibilities by iterating through possible values of yy from 00 to 1010.

  • If y=0y=0: xx must be 0+6=6\ge 0+6=6. Possible xx values from SbaseS_{base} are {6,7,8,9,10}\{6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}. This gives 5 pairs: (6,0),(7,0),(8,0),(9,0),(10,0)(6,0), (7,0), (8,0), (9,0), (10,0).
  • If y=1y=1: xx must be 1+6=7\ge 1+6=7. Possible xx values from SbaseS_{base} are {7,8,9,10}\{7, 8, 9, 10\}. This gives 4 pairs: (7,1),(8,1),(9,1),(10,1)(7,1), (8,1), (9,1), (10,1).
  • If y=2y=2: xx must be 2+6=8\ge 2+6=8. Possible xx values from SbaseS_{base} are {8,9,10}\{8, 9, 10\}. This gives 3 pairs: (8,2),(9,2),(10,2)(8,2), (9,2), (10,2).
  • If y=3y=3: xx must be 3+6=9\ge 3+6=9. Possible xx values from SbaseS_{base} are {9,10}\{9, 10\}. This gives 2 pairs: (9,3),(10,3)(9,3), (10,3).
  • If y=4y=4: xx must be 4+6=10\ge 4+6=10. Possible xx values from SbaseS_{base} are {10}\{10\}. This gives 1 pair: (10,4)(10,4).
  • If y=5y=5: xx must be 5+6=11\ge 5+6=11. There are no values 11\ge 11 in Sbase={0,,10}S_{base}=\{0, \ldots, 10\}. This gives 0 pairs.
  • For any y>5y > 5, the required value for xx would be even larger (e.g., if y=6y=6, x12x \ge 12), so there will be no more pairs.

The number of favorable outcomes for xy>5x-y > 5 is the sum of these counts: Number of pairs for (xy>5)=5+4+3+2+1=15\text{Number of pairs for } (x-y > 5) = 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 15

Sub-step 2.2: Count outcomes for the condition yx>5y-x > 5

This condition can be rewritten as yx+6y \ge x+6. This case is perfectly symmetric to the previous one, with the roles of xx and yy simply swapped. We can leverage this symmetry to quickly determine the count.

  • If x=0x=0: yy must be 0+6=6\ge 0+6=6. Possible yy values from SbaseS_{base} are {6,7,8,9,10}\{6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}. This gives 5 pairs: (0,6),(0,7),(0,8),(0,9),(0,10)(0,6), (0,7), (0,8), (0,9), (0,10).
  • If x=1x=1: yy must be 1+6=7\ge 1+6=7. Possible yy values from SbaseS_{base} are {7,8,9,10}\{7, 8, 9, 10\}. This gives 4 pairs: (1,7),(1,8),(1,9),(1,10)(1,7), (1,8), (1,9), (1,10).
  • If x=2x=2: yy must be 2+6=8\ge 2+6=8. Possible yy values from SbaseS_{base} are {8,9,10}\{8, 9, 10\}. This gives 3 pairs: (2,8),(2,9),(2,10)(2,8), (2,9), (2,10).
  • If x=3x=3: yy must be 3+6=9\ge 3+6=9. Possible yy values from SbaseS_{base} are {9,10}\{9, 10\}. This gives 2 pairs: (3,9),(3,10)(3,9), (3,10).
  • If x=4x=4: yy must be 4+6=10\ge 4+6=10. Possible yy values from SbaseS_{base} are {10}\{10\}. This gives 1 pair: (4,10)(4,10).
  • For any x5x \ge 5, the required value for yy would be 11\ge 11, which is not in SbaseS_{base}. This gives 0 pairs.

The number of favorable outcomes for yx>5y-x > 5 is: Number of pairs for (yx>5)=5+4+3+2+1=15\text{Number of pairs for } (y-x > 5) = 5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 15

Sub-step 2.3: Combine all Favorable Outcomes

Since the two conditions (xy>5x-y>5 and yx>5y-x>5) are mutually exclusive (an ordered difference cannot be both greater than 5 and less than -5 simultaneously), we simply add the counts from both cases to get the total number of favorable outcomes for event EE. Total Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))=15+15=30\text{Total Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))} = 15 + 15 = 30

Step 3: Calculate the Probability

Finally, we apply the classical probability formula using the total number of outcomes from Step 1 and the total number of favorable outcomes from Step 2. P(xy>5)=Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))P(|x-y|>5) = \frac{\text{Number of Favorable Outcomes (n(E))}}{\text{Total Number of Possible Outcomes (n(S))}} P(xy>5)=30121P(|x-y|>5) = \frac{30}{121}

Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Counting the Set Size: Always be careful when counting elements in a set that includes 0. The set {0,1,,n}\{0, 1, \ldots, n\} has n+1n+1 elements, not nn. Here, {0,,10}\{0, \ldots, 10\} has 100+1=1110-0+1=11 elements.
  • Understanding "With Replacement": This phrase is crucial. If choices were "without replacement," the total number of outcomes would be 11×10=11011 \times 10 = 110, as xx and yy could not be the same.
  • Absolute Value Interpretation: A common error is to only consider xy>5x-y > 5 and forget the xy<5x-y < -5 (or yx>5y-x > 5) case. This would lead to half the correct number of favorable outcomes.
  • Leveraging Symmetry: For conditions involving absolute differences like xy|x-y|, there is often symmetry. Once you've counted outcomes for xy>kx-y > k, the count for yx>ky-x > k is usually the same. This saves time and provides a good cross-check.

Summary

This problem is a fundamental application of classical probability. The solution involved two main parts: first, correctly determining the total number of possible ordered pairs (x,y)(x,y) by understanding the "with replacement" condition and accurately counting the elements in the given set. Second, we meticulously counted the number of favorable outcomes by carefully breaking down the absolute value inequality xy>5|x-y|>5 into two mutually exclusive conditions (xy>5x-y>5 and yx>5y-x>5). We systematically listed and summed the pairs for each condition, then combined them. Finally, the probability was calculated using the ratio of favorable outcomes to total outcomes.

The final answer is 30121\boxed{\frac{30}{121}}, which corresponds to option (A).

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