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JEE Main 2020
Statistics & Probability
Statistics
Hard

Question

The mean and standard deviation of 10 observations are 20 and 8 respectively. Later on, it was observed that one observation was recorded as 50 instead of 40. Then the correct variance is :

Options

Solution

This problem requires us to adjust the mean and variance of a dataset after a recording error is identified. We'll use the fundamental formulas for mean and variance to first determine the original sum and sum of squares of observations, then correct these sums, and finally calculate the new (correct) mean and variance.

  1. Key Concepts and Formulas

    For a set of nn observations, x1,x2,,xnx_1, x_2, \ldots, x_n:

    • Mean (xˉ\bar{x}): The average of the observations. xˉ=i=1nxin\bar{x} = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i}{n} where xi\sum x_i is the sum of all observations.

    • Variance (σ2\sigma^2): A measure of the spread of data points around the mean. The most convenient computational formula is: σ2=i=1nxi2n(xˉ)2\sigma^2 = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i^2}{n} - (\bar{x})^2 where xi2\sum x_i^2 is the sum of the squares of all observations.

    • Standard Deviation (σ\sigma): The positive square root of the variance. σ=σ2\sigma = \sqrt{\sigma^2}

  2. Step-by-Step Solution

    We are given:

    • Number of observations, n=10n = 10
    • Original Mean, xˉorig=20\bar{x}_{\text{orig}} = 20
    • Original Standard Deviation, σorig=8\sigma_{\text{orig}} = 8
    • Original Variance, σorig2=82=64\sigma_{\text{orig}}^2 = 8^2 = 64
    • Incorrectly recorded observation = 50
    • Correct observation = 40

    Step 1: Calculate the Original Sum of Observations (xiorig\sum x_i^{\text{orig}})

    • Why this step? The mean is defined by the sum of observations. To correct for an error in one observation, we first need to know the total sum that was calculated using the incorrect value. This sum will be our basis for correction.
    • Using the formula for the mean, xˉ=xin\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n}, we can find the sum: xiorig=n×xˉorig\sum x_i^{\text{orig}} = n \times \bar{x}_{\text{orig}}
    • Substituting the given values: xiorig=10×20=200\sum x_i^{\text{orig}} = 10 \times 20 = 200

    Step 2: Calculate the Original Sum of Squares of Observations ((xi2)orig\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{orig}})

    • Why this step? The variance formula requires the sum of squares of observations. Similar to the sum of observations, we need the original sum of squares (calculated with the incorrect value) to adjust it for the correction.
    • Using the formula for variance, σ2=xi2n(xˉ)2\sigma^2 = \frac{\sum x_i^2}{n} - (\bar{x})^2, we can find the sum of squares: xi2=n(σ2+(xˉ)2)\sum x_i^2 = n \left( \sigma^2 + (\bar{x})^2 \right)
    • Substituting the original given values (σorig2=64\sigma_{\text{orig}}^2 = 64 and xˉorig=20\bar{x}_{\text{orig}} = 20): (xi2)orig=10(64+(20)2)\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{orig}} = 10 \left( 64 + (20)^2 \right) (xi2)orig=10(64+400)\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{orig}} = 10 (64 + 400) (xi2)orig=10×464=4640\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{orig}} = 10 \times 464 = 4640

    Step 3: Calculate the Correct Sum of Observations (xicorrect\sum x_i^{\text{correct}})

    • Why this step? We need to update the total sum of observations by removing the incorrect value and adding the correct value.
    • The formula for the corrected sum is: xicorrect=xiorigIncorrect Value+Correct Value\sum x_i^{\text{correct}} = \sum x_i^{\text{orig}} - \text{Incorrect Value} + \text{Correct Value}
    • Substituting the values: xicorrect=20050+40\sum x_i^{\text{correct}} = 200 - 50 + 40 xicorrect=190\sum x_i^{\text{correct}} = 190

    Step 4: Calculate the Correct Sum of Squares of Observations ((xi2)correct\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}})

    • Why this step? Similarly, the sum of squares needs to be corrected. When we remove an observation, we subtract its square. When we add an observation, we add its square.
    • The formula for the corrected sum of squares is: (xi2)correct=(xi2)orig(Incorrect Value)2+(Correct Value)2\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}} = \sum (x_i^2)^{\text{orig}} - (\text{Incorrect Value})^2 + (\text{Correct Value})^2
    • Substituting the values: (xi2)correct=4640(50)2+(40)2\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}} = 4640 - (50)^2 + (40)^2 (xi2)correct=46402500+1600\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}} = 4640 - 2500 + 1600 (xi2)correct=2140+1600\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}} = 2140 + 1600 (xi2)correct=3740\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}} = 3740

    Step 5: Calculate the Correct Mean (xˉcorrect\bar{x}_{\text{correct}})

    • Why this step? The correct variance depends on the correct mean. We must calculate the new mean using the corrected sum of observations.
    • Using the formula for mean: xˉcorrect=xicorrectn\bar{x}_{\text{correct}} = \frac{\sum x_i^{\text{correct}}}{n}
    • Substituting the corrected sum and number of observations: xˉcorrect=19010\bar{x}_{\text{correct}} = \frac{190}{10} xˉcorrect=19\bar{x}_{\text{correct}} = 19

    Step 6: Calculate the Correct Variance (σcorrect2\sigma_{\text{correct}}^2)

    • Why this step? This is our final goal. We now have all the necessary components: the correct sum of squares, the correct mean, and the number of observations.
    • Using the variance formula: σcorrect2=(xi2)correctn(xˉcorrect)2\sigma_{\text{correct}}^2 = \frac{\sum (x_i^2)^{\text{correct}}}{n} - (\bar{x}_{\text{correct}})^2
    • Substituting the calculated values: σcorrect2=374010(19)2\sigma_{\text{correct}}^2 = \frac{3740}{10} - (19)^2 σcorrect2=374361\sigma_{\text{correct}}^2 = 374 - 361 σcorrect2=13\sigma_{\text{correct}}^2 = 13
  3. Common Mistakes & Tips

    • Confusing Standard Deviation with Variance: Always remember that variance is the square of the standard deviation. A common mistake is to use the standard deviation value directly in the variance formula without squaring it.
    • Incorrectly Adjusting Sum of Squares: When an observation xx is removed or added, its square x2x^2 must be removed or added from the sum of squares, not just xx.
    • Forgetting to Recalculate Mean: The mean changes when an observation is corrected. Always calculate the new (correct) mean before calculating the new variance, as variance depends on the mean.
    • Using n1n-1 for Variance: For JEE problems, unless specified as sample variance or an unbiased estimator, assume population variance (division by nn).
  4. Summary

    We systematically corrected the given statistical measures. First, we derived the original sum of observations and the original sum of squares using the initial mean and standard deviation. Then, we adjusted these sums by removing the incorrectly recorded value and adding the correct value. Finally, using these corrected sums, we calculated the new mean and then the correct variance of the observations. The correct variance was found to be 13.

  5. Final Answer

    The final answer is 13\boxed{13} which corresponds to option (C).

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