Question
Three numbers are chosen at random without replacement from The probability that their minimum is given that their maximum is is :
Options
Solution
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Key Concepts and Formulas
- Conditional Probability: The probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred is denoted as . The fundamental formula is .
- Reduced Sample Space Method: For problems involving counting outcomes (like combinations), it is often more efficient to calculate conditional probability using the number of outcomes: This method avoids calculating the total number of possible outcomes in the universal set, as it cancels out.
- Combinations: The number of ways to choose distinct items from a set of distinct items without regard to the order is given by . This is used for "without replacement" selection.
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Step-by-Step Solution
Step 1: Understand the Problem and Define Events We are choosing three distinct numbers at random without replacement from the set . Let's define the events:
- Event : The minimum of the three chosen numbers is .
- Event : The maximum of the three chosen numbers is . Our goal is to calculate , which is the probability that the minimum is , given that the maximum is .
Step 2: Determine the Size of the Reduced Sample Space () We first need to find the number of ways to choose numbers such that their maximum is . This forms our reduced sample space for event .
- Condition for "maximum is 6":
- The number must be one of the three chosen numbers.
- The other two numbers must be chosen from the set of numbers strictly smaller than . This ensures that is indeed the largest among the three.
- Identifying the pool for the other numbers: The numbers in that are strictly smaller than are . There are such numbers.
- Calculating : We choose in way. We choose additional numbers from the available numbers in in ways. The sets of numbers where the maximum is are: .
Step 3: Determine the Number of Outcomes for the Intersection () Next, we need to find the number of ways to choose numbers such that their minimum is AND their maximum is . This is the intersection of events and .
- Condition for "minimum is 3 AND maximum is 6":
- The number must be one of the chosen numbers (as it's the minimum).
- The number must be one of the chosen numbers (as it's the maximum).
- The third number must be strictly greater than (to maintain as the minimum) AND strictly less than (to maintain as the maximum).
- Identifying the pool for the third number: The numbers in that are strictly between and are . There are such numbers.
- Calculating : We choose in way. We choose in way. We choose additional number from the available numbers in in ways. The sets of numbers where the minimum is and the maximum is are: and .
Step 4: Calculate the Conditional Probability Using the reduced sample space formula, we can now find : Substitute the values calculated in Step 2 and Step 3:
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Common Mistakes & Tips
- Misinterpreting "Minimum" or "Maximum": Always remember that if is the minimum, must be included, and all other numbers must be strictly greater than . Similarly for the maximum.
- Incorrect Range for Intermediate Numbers: When both minimum () and maximum () are specified, the remaining numbers must be chosen from the set of integers strictly between and . E.g., for min 3 and max 6, the intermediate numbers are from .
- Forgetting "Without Replacement": This implies that numbers must be distinct, which is correctly handled by using combinations ().
- Not Using Reduced Sample Space: While the full conditional probability formula () works, using counts directly () is generally simpler for counting problems as the total sample space size cancels out.
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Summary To find the probability that the minimum of three chosen numbers is , given that their maximum is , we utilized the conditional probability concept with a reduced sample space. We first identified all possible sets of three numbers whose maximum is , finding such sets. Then, from these sets, we identified the subset where the minimum is also , finding such sets. The conditional probability is the ratio of these counts, which is , simplifying to .
The final answer is \boxed{\text{1 \over 5}}, which corresponds to option (B).