Question
Let N denote the sum of the numbers obtained when two dice are rolled. If the probability that is , where m and n are coprime, then is equal to :
Options
Solution
1. Key Concepts and Formulas
- Probability of an Event: For an event within a sample space of equally likely outcomes, its probability is given by:
- Sample Space for Rolling Two Dice: When two standard six-sided dice are rolled, the total number of possible outcomes is . Each outcome is an ordered pair (Die 1 result, Die 2 result).
- Complementary Probability: If is an event, its complement is the event that does not occur. The probability of can be found using the formula: This is especially useful when the number of outcomes for is significantly smaller or easier to determine than for .
2. Step-by-Step Solution
Step 1: Determine the Sample Space for N (Sum of Two Dice) and its Frequencies. The variable is the sum of the numbers obtained when two dice are rolled. We need to list all possible values of and the number of ways each sum can occur. This forms the basis for calculating probabilities.
The total number of possible outcomes when rolling two dice is .
| Sum (N) | Possible Combinations (Die 1, Die 2) | Number of Ways (Frequency) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | (1,1) | 1 |
| 3 | (1,2), (2,1) | 2 |
| 4 | (1,3), (2,2), (3,1) | 3 |
| 5 | (1,4), (2,3), (3,2), (4,1) | 4 |
| 6 | (1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1) | 5 |
| 7 | (1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1) | 6 |
| 8 | (2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2) | 5 |
| 9 | (3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3) | 4 |
| 10 | (4,6), (5,5), (6,4) | 3 |
| 11 | (5,6), (6,5) | 2 |
| 12 | (6,6) | 1 |
| Total | 36 |
Step 2: Analyze the Inequality . We need to find for which values of (from 2 to 12) the inequality holds true.
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For :
- Is ? No. So, does not satisfy the inequality. ( holds)
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For :
- Is ? No. So, does not satisfy the inequality. ( holds)
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For :
- Is ? Yes. So, satisfies the inequality.
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For :
- Is ? Yes. So, satisfies the inequality.
Reasoning for : Once becomes greater than (which happens at ), it will continue to be greater for all subsequent integer values of . This is because when increases to :
- Since for , , the factorial term grows much faster than the exponential term . Therefore, the inequality holds for all values of such that . The values of that satisfy are . The values of that satisfy are .
Step 3: Calculate the Required Probability using Complementary Events. Let be the event that . The values of for which occurs are . There are 9 such values. The complementary event is . The values of for which occurs are . There are only 2 such values, making it much simpler to calculate .
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Calculate the number of favorable outcomes for (i.e., or ):
- From Step 1, the frequency for is 1.
- From Step 1, the frequency for is 2.
- Since these are mutually exclusive, the total number of ways for is .
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Calculate the probability of the complementary event :
- Total number of possible outcomes is 36.
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Calculate the probability of the event using complementary probability:
- So, the probability that is .
Step 4: Calculate . The problem states that the probability is , where and are coprime. From Step 3, we found the probability to be . Thus, we have and . Let's check if and are coprime: The greatest common divisor of 11 and 12 is 1, so they are indeed coprime.
Now, we substitute these values into the expression :
3. Common Mistakes & Tips
- Incomplete Sample Space: Ensure all 36 possible outcomes for two dice rolls are considered, and the frequencies for each sum are correctly tabulated. Remember that (1,2) and (2,1) are distinct outcomes.
- Errors in Inequality Evaluation: Carefully calculate and for each . A common mistake is to miscalculate factorials or powers.
- Missing the Trend: Failing to observe that grows significantly faster than for could lead to unnecessary calculations for all from 6 to 12. Recognizing this pattern is a key time-saver.
- Not Using Complementary Probability: Directly summing frequencies for is more prone to error and takes longer than calculating for and using the complementary rule.
- Simplifying Fractions: Always reduce the probability fraction to its simplest form to ensure and are coprime before the final calculation.
4. Summary
This problem required a systematic approach combining probability fundamentals with number theory. We first established the sample space for the sum of two dice rolls and their frequencies. Next, we analyzed the inequality for various values of , identifying the specific values for which it holds. By recognizing the rapid growth of the factorial function, we efficiently determined the set of values satisfying the inequality. Finally, employing the principle of complementary probability significantly simplified the calculation of the required probability, leading to . With and , the final expression was computed as .
5. Final Answer
The final answer is , which corresponds to option (C).