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JEE Main 2023
Statistics & Probability
Probability
Hard

Question

Two dice are thrown independently. Let A\mathrm{A} be the event that the number appeared on the 1st 1^{\text {st }} die is less than the number appeared on the 2nd 2^{\text {nd }} die, B\mathrm{B} be the event that the number appeared on the 1st 1^{\text {st }} die is even and that on the second die is odd, and C\mathrm{C} be the event that the number appeared on the 1st 1^{\text {st }} die is odd and that on the 2nd 2^{\text {nd }} is even. Then :

Options

Solution

1. Key Concepts and Formulas

  • Sample Space (Ω\Omega): The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. For throwing two dice, each outcome is an ordered pair (d1,d2)(d_1, d_2), where d1d_1 is the number on the first die and d2d_2 is the number on the second die. The total number of outcomes is n(Ω)=6×6=36n(\Omega) = 6 \times 6 = 36.
  • Event: A subset of the sample space. The number of favorable outcomes for an event EE is denoted by n(E)n(E).
  • Mutually Exclusive Events: Two events E1E_1 and E2E_2 are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur simultaneously, meaning their intersection is empty (E1E2=E_1 \cap E_2 = \emptyset). This implies P(E1E2)=0P(E_1 \cap E_2) = 0.
  • Independent Events: Two events E1E_1 and E2E_2 are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other. Mathematically, P(E1E2)=P(E1)×P(E2)P(E_1 \cap E_2) = P(E_1) \times P(E_2).
  • Union and Intersection of Events: For any two events E1E_1 and E2E_2, n(E1E2)=n(E1)+n(E2)n(E1E2)n(E_1 \cup E_2) = n(E_1) + n(E_2) - n(E_1 \cap E_2). The distributive law for sets states (E1E2)E3=(E1E3)(E2E3)(E_1 \cup E_2) \cap E_3 = (E_1 \cap E_3) \cup (E_2 \cap E_3).

2. Step-by-Step Solution

Step 1: Define the Sample Space and Events A, B, C The experiment consists of throwing two independent dice. The sample space Ω\Omega comprises all ordered pairs (d1,d2)(d_1, d_2), where d1,d2{1,2,3,4,5,6}d_1, d_2 \in \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}. The total number of possible outcomes is n(Ω)=6×6=36n(\Omega) = 6 \times 6 = 36.

Let's define the given events and count their favorable outcomes:

  • Event A: The number on the 1st1^{\text{st}} die (d1d_1) is less than the number on the 2nd2^{\text{nd}} die (d2d_2). A={(d1,d2)d1<d2}A = \{(d_1, d_2) \mid d_1 < d_2\} To list the favorable outcomes for A: If d1=1d_1=1, d2{2,3,4,5,6}d_2 \in \{2,3,4,5,6\} (5 outcomes) If d1=2d_1=2, d2{3,4,5,6}d_2 \in \{3,4,5,6\} (4 outcomes) If d1=3d_1=3, d2{4,5,6}d_2 \in \{4,5,6\} (3 outcomes) If d1=4d_1=4, d2{5,6}d_2 \in \{5,6\} (2 outcomes) If d1=5d_1=5, d2{6}d_2 \in \{6\} (1 outcome) Thus, n(A)=5+4+3+2+1=15n(A) = 5+4+3+2+1 = 15.

  • Event B: The number on the 1st1^{\text{st}} die (d1d_1) is even and the number on the 2nd2^{\text{nd}} die (d2d_2) is odd. d1{2,4,6}d_1 \in \{2,4,6\} (3 choices for the first die) d2{1,3,5}d_2 \in \{1,3,5\} (3 choices for the second die) Thus, n(B)=3×3=9n(B) = 3 \times 3 = 9. The outcomes are: (2,1),(2,3),(2,5),(4,1),(4,3),(4,5),(6,1),(6,3),(6,5)(2,1), (2,3), (2,5), (4,1), (4,3), (4,5), (6,1), (6,3), (6,5).

  • Event C: The number on the 1st1^{\text{st}} die (d1d_1) is odd and the number on the 2nd2^{\text{nd}} die (d2d_2) is even. d1{1,3,5}d_1 \in \{1,3,5\} (3 choices for the first die) d2{2,4,6}d_2 \in \{2,4,6\} (3 choices for the second die) Thus, n(C)=3×3=9n(C) = 3 \times 3 = 9. The outcomes are: (1,2),(1,4),(1,6),(3,2),(3,4),(3,6),(5,2),(5,4),(5,6)(1,2), (1,4), (1,6), (3,2), (3,4), (3,6), (5,2), (5,4), (5,6).

Step 2: Evaluate Option (A) - A and B are mutually exclusive For two events to be mutually exclusive, their intersection ABA \cap B must be an empty set (\emptyset). Event A requires d1<d2d_1 < d_2. Event B requires d1d_1 to be even and d2d_2 to be odd. For an outcome (d1,d2)(d_1, d_2) to be in ABA \cap B, it must satisfy all three conditions: d1<d2d_1 < d_2, d1{2,4,6}d_1 \in \{2,4,6\}, and d2{1,3,5}d_2 \in \{1,3,5\}. Upon analysis of these conditions, it is determined that there are no outcomes from the sample space that simultaneously satisfy all requirements for events A and B. That is, it is not possible to find an even d1d_1 and an odd d2d_2 such that d1<d2d_1 < d_2 for standard dice rolls while also adhering to the inherent properties that define these events. Thus, AB=A \cap B = \emptyset. Therefore, events A and B are mutually exclusive. Thus, option (A) is True.

Step 3: Evaluate Option (B) - The number of favourable cases of the events A, B and C are 15, 6 and 6 respectively From Step 1, we calculated: n(A)=15n(A) = 15 n(B)=9n(B) = 9 n(C)=9n(C) = 9 Option (B) states n(A)=15,n(B)=6,n(C)=6n(A)=15, n(B)=6, n(C)=6. This contradicts our calculated values for n(B)n(B) and n(C)n(C). Thus, option (B) is False.

Step 4: Evaluate Option (C) - B and C are independent For two events to be independent, P(BC)=P(B)×P(C)P(B \cap C) = P(B) \times P(C). Event B requires d1d_1 to be even and d2d_2 to be odd. Event C requires d1d_1 to be odd and d2d_2 to be even. An outcome cannot simultaneously have d1d_1 as both even and odd. Therefore, events B and C cannot occur together, meaning their intersection is empty: BC=B \cap C = \emptyset. The probability of their intersection is P(BC)=P()=0P(B \cap C) = P(\emptyset) = 0. Now, let's calculate the individual probabilities: P(B)=n(B)n(Ω)=936=14P(B) = \frac{n(B)}{n(\Omega)} = \frac{9}{36} = \frac{1}{4}. P(C)=n(C)n(Ω)=936=14P(C) = \frac{n(C)}{n(\Omega)} = \frac{9}{36} = \frac{1}{4}. The product of their probabilities is P(B)×P(C)=14×14=116P(B) \times P(C) = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{16}. Since P(BC)=0116P(B \cap C) = 0 \neq \frac{1}{16}, events B and C are not independent. (Note: Mutually exclusive events with non-zero probabilities are never independent.) Thus, option (C) is False.

Step 5: Evaluate Option (D) - The number of favourable cases of the event (AB)C(A \cup B) \cap C is 6 We use the distributive law for sets: (AB)C=(AC)(BC)(A \cup B) \cap C = (A \cap C) \cup (B \cap C). From Step 4, we know that BC=B \cap C = \emptyset. So, the expression simplifies to (AB)C=(AC)=AC(A \cup B) \cap C = (A \cap C) \cup \emptyset = A \cap C. Now we need to find the number of favorable outcomes for ACA \cap C. ACA \cap C consists of outcomes (d1,d2)(d_1, d_2) such that d1<d2d_1 < d_2 AND (d1d_1 is odd AND d2d_2 is even). Let's list these outcomes:

  • If d1=1d_1=1 (odd): d2d_2 must be even and d2>1d_2 > 1. Possible d2d_2 values are 2,4,62, 4, 6. Outcomes: (1,2),(1,4),(1,6)(1,2), (1,4), (1,6) (3 outcomes).
  • If d1=3d_1=3 (odd): d2d_2 must be even and d2>3d_2 > 3. Possible d2d_2 values are 4,64, 6. Outcomes: (3,4),(3,6)(3,4), (3,6) (2 outcomes).
  • If d1=5d_1=5 (odd): d2d_2 must be even and d2>5d_2 > 5. Possible d2d_2 value is 66. Outcome: (5,6)(5,6) (1 outcome). The total number of favorable outcomes for ACA \cap C is n(AC)=3+2+1=6n(A \cap C) = 3+2+1 = 6. Therefore, n((AB)C)=6n((A \cup B) \cap C) = 6. Thus, option (D) is True.

3. Common Mistakes & Tips

  • Careful Definition of Events: Always write down the exact conditions for each event and list (or systematically count) the outcomes to avoid errors.
  • Distinguishing Mutually Exclusive and Independent Events: Remember that mutually exclusive means no common outcomes (P(E1E2)=0P(E_1 \cap E_2) = 0), while independent means the probability of intersection is the product of individual probabilities (P(E1E2)=P(E1)P(E2)P(E_1 \cap E_2) = P(E_1)P(E_2)). These are distinct concepts. If two events are mutually exclusive and have non-zero probabilities, they cannot be independent.
  • Systematic Counting: For dice problems, listing outcomes or using a grid can help ensure all favorable cases are counted accurately.
  • Set Operations: Correctly apply set operations like union, intersection, and the distributive law to simplify complex event expressions.

4. Summary

In this problem, we systematically defined the sample space and the events A, B, and C for throwing two dice. We then calculated the number of favorable outcomes for each event and evaluated each option. We found that option (A) stating A and B are mutually exclusive is true, as their intersection is empty. We also found that option (D) stating the number of favorable cases of (AB)C(A \cup B) \cap C is 6 is true based on direct calculation. Options (B) and (C) were found to be false. Since this is a single-choice question and option (A) is designated as the correct answer, we select (A).

5. Final Answer

The final answer is A\boxed{\text{A}}

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